Challenge
Circle K faced a significant challenge in growing its carwash business, particularly in increasing its base of high-value subscription customers. The core issue was that carwash sales were intrinsically tied to unpredictable external factors, most notably the weather. Internal sales data clearly showed that revenue would surge with sunshine and rising temperatures but drop sharply during periods of rain.
Their traditional marketing approach, which relied on broad, continuous display advertising, was inefficient and costly. This "always-on" strategy resulted in significant wasted media spend, as ads were often served to consumers when weather conditions made a carwash purchase highly unlikely. The primary challenge was to break this cycle of inefficiency and align media spend directly with the fluctuating, weather-dependent demand patterns. Circle K needed a smarter way to invest its marketing budget to maximize return on investment, minimize waste, and achieve its ambitious goal of increasing carwash customers by 25%.
